It’s a new year, and with that is a fresh opportunity to throw out all sorts of predictions. Much of the logic behind these predictions is grounded in past events, so there’s a great chance I’m overlooking some valuable info (hey, I read “The Signal and The Noise”). Here’s 5 things I think we should all be on the lookout for:
- More political headaches caused by cliffs, deficits, partisanship, etc. We may have narrowly averted the New Year’s cliff, but with the debt ceiling debate coming in just a couple months, I predict we’ll see much of the same. Nevermind the 10 following months of the year where things will be largely the same. Good times ahead.
- Apple’s next big product launch will fall flat. iPhone 4S was a letdown. iPhone 5 was a good product, but an incremental one. Call it a hunch, but I feel like Apple is losing a bit of their “wow” mojo. Whatever they bring next – next round of Apple TV? iPhone 5S? – it will miss the mark.
- Mobile consumer health technology will deliver hugely in terms of functionality and interoperability. But despite all that, it’ll still be a niche market and we as a nation will continue our unhealthy ways. I hope I’m wrong on this one, but I don’t have high hopes.
- Tablet functionality will come closer to full PC replacement. Windows 8 tablets brought us closer with a more rounded out Windows experience, but we’ll see others catch up. This will cement the tablet’s position as the go-to computing device.
- Twitter goes public. And goes through Facebook-like turmoil as it adjusts to life where revenues matter. But in the end, like Facebook, it’ll be ok.
We’ll see in 365 days just how right I am.